0x9d99732e1de88a519ba1206d2db511b515407c5a
0x9d99732e1de88a519ba1206d2db511b515407c5a
- Realised P&L
- $-25.00
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $11.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.16at 0.064Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?
- +$9.39at 0.003Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16?
- +$4.94at 0.085Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?
- +$3.85at 0.026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?
- +$3.32at 0.243Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 10:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.0248756219 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 10:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.0273584899 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 10:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.0187192117 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 10:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.0209999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 10:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.0139303481 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 10:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.0179104475 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 15:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.74 |
| 10-13 15:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13? | SELL | 0.119 | $1.13 |
| 10-13 11:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.0689999982 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 11:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.0169999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 11:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13? | SELL | 0.047 | $0.63 |
| 10-13 11:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.1975918182 | $1.88 |