markspiri
0x9d8cc2f9eb11563ce5d9365d64fe72835d47496d
- Realised P&L
- $-609.89
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $48.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.238 | $23.76 | +$18.76 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.110 | $11.69 | −$5.31 |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.125 | $9.32 | −$1.29 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.040 | $3.29 | −$6.71 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $0.43 | −$0.68 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev · Rafael Jodar | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.80at 0.521Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
- +$80.26at 0.543The Masters 2026: Hole in One?
- +$65.04at 0.282Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$64.93at 0.381Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$45.01at 0.379Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:26 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 11:25 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $17.00 |
| 09-08 10:50 | Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | BUY | 0.1422651574 | $10.61 |
| 09-08 10:49 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-08? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.48 |
| 09-08 10:47 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.2399999984 | $11.98 |
| 09-08 10:46 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.2759999974 | $25.00 |
| 09-08 10:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 10:39 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.05018144 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 07:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.11 |
| 06-02 07:36 | Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.24 | $75.00 |
| 05-14 07:12 | Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $77.00 |
| 05-13 15:53 | Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999956 | $30.97 |
| 05-13 15:53 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.183 | $32.68 |
| 04-12 19:57 | Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.206999996 | $36.00 |
| 04-12 19:56 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.995 | $36.84 |