3pm
0x9d8ac9598dce49bdcf1856a453a07f76fc0894cb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $1.26M
- Markets traded
- 3,979
- Open portfolio
- $903.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,979
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.49at 0.642Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 2?
- +$187.44at 0.968Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 22?
- +$150.11at 0.928Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
- +$145.50at 0.708Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 17?
- +$134.52at 0.754Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.995 | $79.99 |
| 09-18 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.06 |
| 09-17 20:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.992 | $11.90 |
| 09-17 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.995 | $71.48 |
| 09-17 13:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.995 | $79.99 |
| 09-17 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9925121284 | $79.79 |
| 09-17 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.59 |
| 09-17 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.995 | $79.99 |
| 09-17 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9948756064 | $79.98 |
| 09-17 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.995 | $79.99 |
| 09-17 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.995 | $79.99 |
| 09-17 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.995 | $72.04 |
| 09-17 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.995 | $79.99 |
| 09-17 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 09-17 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |