0x9d8a30bdd9c357404081a6864ba00e55a55435a5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.92
- Volume
- $23.74
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $5.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.730 | 0.755 | $4.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes | 0.723 | 0.610 | $0.65 | −$0.12 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.065 | $0.46 | −$1.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.83at 0.858Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$-4.12at 0.505Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 13:50 | Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 13:49 | Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $1.89 |
| 04-12 16:24 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.858 | $5.00 |
| 04-04 07:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 04-04 07:40 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.729999958 | $4.00 |