0x9d80c341a3014521a7b07a8659bb47e1bc741b49
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $5.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US gas hit $4.35 (High) in November? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.280 | $5.60 | +$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.22at 0.140Will US gas hit $4.40 (High) in November?
- +$0.22at 0.340Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?
- +$-0.09at 0.220Will US gas hit $4.45 (High) in November?
- +$-0.80at 0.270Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by November 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 13:28 | Will US gas hit $4.45 (High) in November? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.03 |
| 11-02 13:28 | Will US gas hit $4.40 (High) in November? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.51 |
| 10-05 18:10 | Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |