0x9d80591c7cc2ef7f32da20d349825f1d790e99b4
0x9d80591c7cc2ef7f32da20d349825f1d790e99b4
- Realised P&L
- $1.40
- Volume
- $263.98
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $8.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 45.5 · Over | 0.480 | 1.000 | $4.16 | +$2.16 |
| Air Force vs. Northern Illinois: O/U 47.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.535 | $2.10 | +$0.10 |
| Wild vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.220 | 0.195 | $1.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream · Atlanta Dream | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-28? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.74at 0.220Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-09?
- +$4.45at 0.538Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?
- +$4.32at 0.262Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$1.73at 0.747Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
- +$1.64at 0.813Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 23:12 | Wild vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 13:20 | Duke vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 13:20 | Duke vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 12:48 | Air Force vs. Northern Illinois: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 15:35 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 12:55 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.55 | $8.80 |
| 09-19 05:40 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 05:33 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 05:28 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 17:02 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 17:01 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 19:47 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 18:21 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 20:41 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-09? | SELL | 0.94 | $8.95 |
| 09-09 20:09 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |