PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CakeBake

0x9d8019321990b0e9d3947c74e7832f855b2afcaf

Realised P&L
$-21.5k
Volume
$3.31M
Markets traded
780
Open portfolio
$43.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded780
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1? · Yes0.9991.000$9.4k+$4.72
Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3? · No0.9991.000$7.1k+$3.55
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · No0.9991.000$5.8k+$3.71
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.9991.000$5.6k+$2.81
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · No0.9991.000$5.1k+$2.55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.9970.999$3.4k+$5.59
Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1? · No0.9991.000$2.3k+$1.14
Will MrBeast's next video get 125 million or more views on day 3? · Yes0.9991.000$1.4k+$0.71
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · No0.9991.000$1.2k+$0.59
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.9991.000$1.0k+$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.9780.978$835.76−$0.43
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? · No0.9991.000$407.57+$0.22
Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 113 million views on day 3? · No0.9901.000$58.42+$0.56
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$5.61
Will MrBeast's next video get between 31 and 32 million views on day 4? · Yes0.4560.000$0.00−$1.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 06:37Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.978$836.19
10-06 03:49Will MrBeast's next video get 125 million or more views on day 3?BUY0.999$84.88
10-06 03:49Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3?BUY0.999$2.1k
10-06 03:48Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.997$149.55
10-06 03:48Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.997$104.69
10-06 03:47Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.9968255016$3.0k
10-05 17:44Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?BUY0.999$2.3k
10-05 14:04Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.999$5.1k
10-05 13:38Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?BUY0.999$1.4k
10-05 04:42Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?SELL0.05$5.00
10-05 03:46Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?BUY0.23$23.00
10-05 03:04Will MrBeast's next video get between 92 and 96 million views on day 2?BUY0.9969960159$2.5k
10-05 03:03Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.999$2.0k
10-05 03:00Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.999$9.4k
10-05 03:00Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.9989509527$407.34