haiest
0x9d7d3345c6ea2e20ec95b9deb7c82ed3fbe84f6d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $147.3k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $497.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.995 | $497.50 | +$7.00 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$410.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$318.03at 0.920Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$304.98at 0.975Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$245.00at 0.930Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
- +$235.07at 0.987Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
- +$208.17at 0.985Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 12:32 | Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $196.20 |
| 06-05 05:54 | Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY | 0.9777244196 | $2.3k |
| 06-05 05:48 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $14.66 |
| 06-01 15:53 | Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? | SELL | 0.989 | $395.60 |
| 06-01 15:53 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $106.95 |
| 06-01 05:40 | Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.50 |
| 04-10 16:44 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.9818699667 | $2.9k |
| 04-08 00:36 | Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 04-08 00:34 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.1k |
| 04-08 00:07 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SELL | 0.7008694234 | $885.10 |
| 04-07 23:54 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | SELL | 0.006 | $5.25 |
| 04-07 23:54 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.01 | $40.00 |
| 04-07 23:53 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.46 |
| 04-07 20:36 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | SELL | 0.58 | $290.00 |
| 04-06 19:50 | Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.969 | $2.2k |