0x9d7d2f0da5e88f220b025b7747303a093cbf03c2
- Realised P&L
- $-376.69
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $5.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.009 | $3.48 | +$0.55 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $1.31 | −$1.31 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.011 | $1.14 | −$16.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.81at 0.449Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4PM ET
- +$10.46at 0.233Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$8.29at 0.337Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
- +$7.23at 0.368Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6PM ET
- +$6.68at 0.439Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:12 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.63 |
| 09-14 19:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.93 |
| 09-14 19:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0646153845 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 19:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 19:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.1699999998 | $17.64 |
| 09-14 19:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999958 | $12.00 |
| 09-07 23:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $3.65 |
| 09-07 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 22:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.31 |
| 09-07 21:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999883 | $7.00 |
| 09-07 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.379999992 | $3.81 |
| 09-07 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999869 | $3.51 |
| 09-07 19:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 19:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |