ertgrdehd
0x9d7c0da27a5cbb314c556ce00a9e13d832908125
- Realised P&L
- $-2.41
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.430 | $2.65 | −$2.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.12at 0.749Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?
- +$3.55at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14?
- +$1.00at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 14?
- +$-0.25at 0.999Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.26at 0.999Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:17 | Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 07:07 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.00 |
| 06-12 06:48 | Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $232.76 |
| 06-12 06:48 | Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $233.00 |
| 06-12 06:47 | Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $232.76 |
| 06-12 06:47 | Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $233.00 |
| 06-12 06:47 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $232.76 |
| 06-12 06:47 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $233.00 |
| 06-12 06:47 | Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $232.76 |
| 06-12 06:46 | Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $233.00 |
| 04-14 02:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.09 |
| 04-14 02:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 04-14 02:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $224.93 |