0x9d7a64c090d08d5d1e4ce4ac5af93d5d393c525f
0x9d7a64c090d08d5d1e4ce4ac5af93d5d393c525f
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $58.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $518.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.410 | $195.14 | +$71.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 5? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.270 | $127.94 | +$58.24 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.238 | $109.72 | +$67.52 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.093 | $49.57 | −$31.62 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.069 | $36.19 | −$38.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$407.74at 0.849Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$366.41at 0.807Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
- +$238.33at 0.776Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$236.32at 0.808Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?
- +$220.94at 0.745Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.1205442945 | $9.00 |
| 10-05 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.2418461538 | $7.86 |
| 10-05 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.1639058692 | $8.60 |
| 10-05 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.2599320229 | $17.96 |
| 10-05 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.1241395416 | $37.77 |
| 10-05 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6? | BUY | 0.1422038259 | $75.13 |
| 10-04 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5? | BUY | 0.099972745 | $5.45 |
| 10-04 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.2087861248 | $15.48 |
| 10-04 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.2778014215 | $20.48 |
| 10-04 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5? | BUY | 0.0941281467 | $30.71 |
| 10-04 17:38 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.163710623 | $41.71 |
| 10-04 17:36 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.257904482 | $77.71 |
| 10-04 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5? | BUY | 0.075228372 | $6.03 |
| 10-04 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.0863276587 | $12.51 |
| 10-04 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.2490071422 | $25.13 |