Tiou
0x9d78a3f710dcc877f4b29f7540723079583a883f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? · No | 0.751 | 1.000 | $1.9k | +$479.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.497 | 1.000 | $421.79 | +$211.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 15? · No | 0.851 | 0.940 | $177.22 | +$16.87 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 15? · No | 0.920 | 0.966 | $148.02 | +$6.91 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 16? · No | 0.680 | 0.835 | $46.60 | +$8.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.460 | $5.06 | +$0.11 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · No | 0.675 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · No | 0.415 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.30at 0.895Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?
- +$45.63at 0.724US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
- +$19.74at 0.699Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- +$7.77at 0.866Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 13?
- +$5.97at 0.684Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.46 | $23.18 |
| 10-14 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.47 | $6.58 |
| 10-14 05:34 | Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | SELL | 0.9423443526 | $95.78 |
| 10-14 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.14 |
| 10-14 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.799483 | $79.95 |
| 10-14 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 10-14 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.24 |
| 10-14 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.02 |
| 10-14 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.79 | $14.95 |
| 10-14 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 10-14 02:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.77 | $10.52 |
| 10-13 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.678 | $101.70 |
| 10-13 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.6093339556 | $91.39 |
| 10-13 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-13 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |