pushki
0x9d74c1255b58d3eee9f8b9164c5eadffe679b627
- Realised P&L
- $368.42
- Volume
- $120.5k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $81.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? · Yes | 0.669 | 0.205 | $81.17 | −$183.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.52at 0.991Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
- +$54.00at 0.968Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$45.85at 0.994Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$32.06at 0.994Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$28.86at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 12:11 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.6692866148 | $265.00 |
| 05-05 15:32 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $262.62 |
| 05-04 13:48 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $261.42 |
| 04-19 21:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9741890401 | $254.78 |
| 04-19 21:09 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.984 | $254.86 |
| 04-09 18:16 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $256.72 |
| 03-27 16:43 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $247.04 |
| 03-22 16:25 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $246.79 |
| 12-11 07:55 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.3k |
| 12-11 07:55 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.981 | $3.9k |
| 12-10 11:07 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.3k |
| 12-09 22:42 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.3k |
| 12-06 09:38 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 12-06 09:38 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 12-06 09:38 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |