janetspencer
0x9d6f5c0d4200c10209904c2f4c6a1e66d3db50fb
- Realised P&L
- $-59.63
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $39.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State vs. San Diego State · Texas State | 0.630 | 0.755 | $19.94 | +$3.30 |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No | 0.910 | 0.940 | $19.50 | +$0.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.45at 0.671Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?
- +$14.79at 0.620Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.46at 0.290Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
- +$0.67at 0.643Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
- +$0.25at 0.976Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 03:05 | Texas State vs. San Diego State | BUY | 0.6299999958 | $16.64 |
| 01-31 13:22 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.41 |
| 01-31 13:22 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.01 |
| 01-30 15:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.60 |
| 01-30 13:19 | Will Chainlink hit $21 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.42 |
| 01-30 12:28 | Will Ethena hit $0.41 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $65.07 |
| 12-30 14:16 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9979995133 | $1.78 |
| 12-30 13:58 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.05 |
| 12-30 13:19 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.04 |
| 12-30 08:59 | Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.44 |
| 12-29 23:29 | Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.13 |
| 12-29 21:42 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.46 |
| 10-30 21:52 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.70 |
| 10-30 19:18 | Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.52 |
| 09-29 15:07 | Will Meta have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.19 |