PolyBot

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Traders

MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus

0x9d699c315b662a161e763a3c4c954408a048ab3a

Realised P&L
$-16.1k
Volume
$2.75M
Markets traded
4,836
Open portfolio
$11.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,836
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? · No0.9230.962$588.35+$23.51
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.989$494.50+$24.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · No0.9100.972$444.96+$28.17
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.981$392.20+$24.20
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7130.865$354.65+$62.25
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8300.720$347.75−$53.13
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.8740.959$328.67+$29.07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6730.847$296.45+$60.85
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6370.865$259.50+$68.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9340.994$212.74+$12.74
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? · No0.7600.850$212.50+$22.50
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.8840.940$211.50+$12.50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8350.945$207.90+$24.30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8650.945$207.90+$17.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9630.998$206.85+$7.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 07:13Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome KymBUY0.75$37.50
10-29 07:12Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos PradoBUY0.2966238745$10.00
10-29 06:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
10-29 06:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETBUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-29 06:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETBUY0.08$1.00
10-29 06:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETBUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-29 06:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETBUY0.7299999807$20.00
10-29 06:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-29 06:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-29 06:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-29 06:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.4$1.00
10-29 06:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.5399999568$5.00
10-29 06:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.5399999568$5.00
10-29 06:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.5299999883$20.00
10-29 06:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.4399999947$20.00