0x9D5dE04F5717EFdc02ef8948D9c0Bc46d482efe4-1763302770242
0x9d5de04f5717efdc02ef8948d9c0bc46d482efe4
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $46.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.650 | $20.80 | +$4.16 |
| Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.180 | $14.94 | +$0.71 |
| Will Fjord win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.045 | $8.32 | −$0.79 |
| Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $2.76 | −$4.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.205Will ZKsync win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
- +$118.51at 0.449Will Across win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
- +$-0.72at 0.056Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$-13.24at 0.280Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$-28.75at 0.050Will Odisea win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 23:06 | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 09-22 23:06 | Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.041678733 | $1.84 |
| 09-21 10:27 | Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1907395604 | $17.36 |
| 09-21 10:24 | Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.52 | $16.64 |
| 09-21 10:22 | Will Fjord win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 09-21 10:22 | Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.65 |
| 09-21 10:22 | Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1666666667 | $7.50 |
| 09-21 03:08 | Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.83 |
| 09-21 03:08 | Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 09-21 03:08 | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.27 | $11.14 |
| 09-20 21:01 | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.27 | $11.61 |
| 09-20 20:54 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.62 |
| 03-12 16:54 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999992 | $239.87 |
| 11-16 22:09 | Will Across win 2025 Uniswap Cup? | BUY | 0.4479466637 | $20.07 |
| 11-16 19:44 | Will Odisea win 2025 Uniswap Cup? | SELL | 0.0387107988 | $96.25 |