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Traders

moonbagio

0x9d596f28de3f74b71d9620b893779faf68333210

Realised P&L
$27.12
Volume
$21.7k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$29.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes0.0770.053$22.64$10.08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1550.075$6.38$6.80
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$7.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$5.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.08$1.20
09-16 21:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.09$9.00
09-03 00:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.15$15.00
08-30 19:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.16$6.00
08-30 19:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.16$10.00
08-29 14:04NATO article 5 before 2027?BUY0.0875805315$19.00
08-29 14:04US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?SELL0.12$19.71
08-29 03:13US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?BUY0.1399999872$9.00
08-29 03:12NATO article 5 before 2027?SELL0.06$9.00
08-28 00:43US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?BUY0.12$12.00
08-28 00:40NATO article 5 before 2027?SELL0.0604995$12.10
08-25 20:26NATO article 5 before 2027?BUY0.0694936799$7.00
08-25 20:25US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?SELL0.1217274141$7.05
08-25 00:38US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?BUY0.1899999888$11.00
08-20 20:33NATO article 5 before 2027?BUY0.0673779147$10.00
Trader moonbagio · PolyBot Pro