Polkadot-Frog
0x9d57c42e847173d06841703825d3fe2299e456ea
- Realised P&L
- $-124.1k
- Volume
- $68.98M
- Markets traded
- 91,699
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded91,699
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.137Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET
- +$3.3kat 0.352Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
- +$3.3kat 0.362Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
- +$3.2kat 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
- +$3.2kat 0.318Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 10:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $6.13 |
| 11-02 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $16.50 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $12.15 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $12.15 |
| 11-02 10:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |