Polkadot-Frog
0x9d57c42e847173d06841703825d3fe2299e456ea
- Realised P&L
- $145.4k
- Volume
- $48.61M
- Markets traded
- 65,345
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded65,345
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.377Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$3.3kat 0.292Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$3.3kat 0.352Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
- +$3.3kat 0.362Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
- +$3.3kat 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $1.46 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $2.76 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $20.25 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $20.25 |
| 09-18 05:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $20.25 |