0x9d5680295b3f5d771e8e04b127162052711eeb97
0x9d5680295b3f5d771e8e04b127162052711eeb97
- Realised P&L
- $-178.55
- Volume
- $16.4k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $19.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.465 | $9.30 | −$4.70 |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.175 | $8.75 | −$0.25 |
| Cornell President out by October 31? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.050 | $1.00 | −$4.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.56at 0.072Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 24?
- +$14.14at 0.106Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?
- +$10.85at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?
- +$10.61at 0.022Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 22?
- +$9.99at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 05:12 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-30 05:12 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-30 05:12 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-30 05:12 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 08-05 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0699999554 | $1.38 |
| 08-05 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0194444444 | $1.40 |
| 08-05 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.19 |
| 08-05 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.002256631 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.43 |
| 08-04 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.46 |
| 08-04 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0082781457 | $1.25 |
| 08-04 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0029334507 | $1.10 |
| 08-03 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0899999474 | $1.54 |
| 08-03 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.45 |
| 08-03 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0071773061 | $1.26 |