Muskymusk
0x9d4dc118d20e0f5de3aa02ed474f7e1724696d87
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $259.4k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $760.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.716Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?
- +$541.03at 0.353Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 24-31?
- +$379.40at 0.544Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
- +$346.80at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8AM ET
- +$302.54at 0.360Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:20 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6988607595 | $552.10 |
| 10-05 10:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $61.20 |
| 10-05 09:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3823529142 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 09:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 09:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $47.13 |
| 10-05 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 09:08 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October? | BUY | 0.55 | $22.00 |
| 10-05 09:07 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $67.50 |
| 10-01 18:07 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October? | BUY | 0.5899999796 | $7.51 |
| 10-01 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.82 |
| 10-01 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999116 | $2.02 |