PolyBot

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Traders

holleyan52

0x9d4c4e0cf1a4ff20c16d356b79d698e4af3b70e4

Realised P&L
$19.94
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$7.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 5? · Yes0.2300.205$4.46−$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 5? · Yes0.0790.047$2.98−$2.02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 4? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania end in a draw? · Yes0.1910.001$0.02−$6.98
Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5) · Azerbaijan0.1300.001$0.01−$2.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4? · Yes0.6000.001$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 4? · Yes0.3900.001$0.00−$3.00
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 · Over0.2800.000$0.00−$11.00
Exact Score: Finland 1 - 2 Belarus? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Up0.2100.000$0.00−$3.00
Exact Score: Finland 0 - 2 Belarus? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.00
Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 Winner · Cloud Dawning0.3000.000$0.00−$17.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00−$7.00
Exact Score: Eritrea 0 - 4 South Africa? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$2.00
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs · fnatic0.0590.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 16:05Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs SAW (BO3) - FOX Legacy Cup PlayoffsSELL0.5087989441$11.56
10-04 15:54Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs SAW (BO3) - FOX Legacy Cup PlayoffsBUY0.2199062962$5.00
10-04 15:50Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs SAW - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.67$13.40
10-04 15:43Counter-Strike: Nice Try vs SAW - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.62$12.40
10-04 14:49Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.2899999884$5.00
10-04 14:44Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)BUY0.1299999948$3.00
10-04 14:40Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.2599999896$3.00
10-04 14:36Will Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania end in a draw?BUY0.1799999964$3.00
10-04 14:32Will Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania end in a draw?BUY0.2$4.00
10-04 14:32Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04?SELL0.76$34.44
10-04 14:19Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.7$31.73
10-04 14:07Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 5?SELL0.18$4.50
10-04 13:58Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.0299999999$2.00
10-04 13:49Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5BUY0.2799999949$11.00
10-04 13:45Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBUY0.3499999919$13.00