0x9d44e794cfd1bf6c5ab6d9f4bd635f76fa8ddb71
- Realised P&L
- $16.80
- Volume
- $45.85
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $0.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar36.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.057 | $0.94 | −$1.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.67at 0.108Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.54at 0.630Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$0.10at 0.833Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
- +$-1.07at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 07:35 | Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.1209999514 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 03:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1009999556 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 23:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.67 |
| 07-01 23:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 04:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 04:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 04:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $1.01 |
| 06-19 04:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |