Samsonrpg
0x9d3e62b03f438dd46b7bc11d85b76dec41c01007
- Realised P&L
- $-63.60
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $9.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.030 | $9.01 | −$30.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 29-July 5? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.18 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 6? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 8? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.95 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on July 1? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.42at 0.025Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5?
- +$6.42at 0.036Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 09:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.1299999997 | $39.03 |
| 10-04 22:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.0856613046 | $12.57 |
| 10-03 12:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0340795491 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 15:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.1442186795 | $22.95 |
| 07-05 09:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 8? | BUY | 0.0169999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-04 20:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 6? | BUY | 0.016 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 17:57 | Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $87.95 |
| 07-03 20:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4? | BUY | 0.0349999993 | $43.78 |
| 07-03 20:19 | Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5? | SELL | 0.2560458304 | $50.17 |
| 07-01 11:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on July 1? | BUY | 0.0187178219 | $1.99 |
| 07-01 09:57 | Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.0233466897 | $6.63 |
| 07-01 09:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.0057823021 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 12:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June? | BUY | 0.0129924375 | $17.18 |
| 06-30 09:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30? | BUY | 0.013368984 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 09:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June? | BUY | 0.0209681474 | $10.00 |