6ee
0x9d34bb8795417b33dfc89cdc5a0ae75cdfdbc98c
- Realised P&L
- $26.84
- Volume
- $136.7k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $49.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $17.00 | +$0.02 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.645 | $12.90 | −$2.30 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.983 | $9.82 | +$0.42 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.270 | $8.10 | −$3.60 |
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.086 | $1.20 | −$6.78 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.03at 0.882Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$7.64at 0.647Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.31at 0.355Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.18at 0.006Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$4.80at 0.005Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 17:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.98 |
| 08-30 17:37 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.70 |
| 08-30 17:35 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 06-03 11:53 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in June? | BUY | 0.989 | $30.66 |
| 06-03 11:53 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $51.84 |
| 06-03 11:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.983 | $10.81 |
| 06-03 11:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 06-03 11:51 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.928 | $10.21 |
| 06-03 11:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.945 | $18.90 |
| 06-03 11:50 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 05-12 17:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.89 |
| 05-12 17:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $154.53 |
| 05-12 17:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 05-12 17:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 04-22 06:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.09 |