0x9D2D4D0803bA2eF3fd7c1631CB94ccC6328bcAc3-1760364714899
0x9d2d4d0803ba2ef3fd7c1631cb94ccc6328bcac3
- Realised P&L
- $8.6k
- Volume
- $508.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $12.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.555 | $12.05 | +$9.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.1kat 0.177Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$6.9kat 0.073Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
- +$1.4kat 0.052Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?
- +$699.94at 0.985Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$659.41at 0.963Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 07:12 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.967 | $2.1k |
| 06-07 07:11 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.968 | $1.3k |
| 05-09 02:00 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $912.25 |
| 05-09 02:00 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.961 | $782.78 |
| 05-05 02:26 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.961 | $686.22 |
| 05-05 02:25 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $675.47 |
| 05-05 02:25 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.959 | $341.07 |
| 05-05 02:25 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $1.6k |
| 04-30 12:21 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.959 | $397.09 |
| 04-30 12:21 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $327.66 |
| 04-30 12:21 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.957 | $548.15 |
| 04-19 04:56 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.9579999977 | $242.67 |
| 04-19 04:56 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.9533285009 | $8.4k |
| 04-19 04:52 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.7898429613 | $8.7k |
| 04-15 20:22 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.8k |