0x9d2c950349dca2f9d26c852ad4d7c54fa4aeb1ec
- Realised P&L
- $4.83
- Volume
- $94.56
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $77.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? · Yes | 0.894 | 0.870 | $45.72 | −$1.28 |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? · Yes | 0.705 | 0.860 | $31.73 | +$5.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.08at 0.984Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 19:44 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.8299998672 | $3.00 |
| 08-26 15:45 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $4.00 |
| 07-31 10:10 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 15:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9779998838 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 22:27 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 22:31 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 19:56 | Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 19:55 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.917160469 | $25.00 |
| 06-18 19:55 | Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 19:54 | Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.7030329334 | $20.00 |