wvalenzuela
0x9d1e00caadbe740c2fe1cc08fd815ce57391f51e
- Realised P&L
- $-45.43
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $17.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? · No | 0.771 | 0.852 | $17.03 | +$1.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.90at 0.730Will Elon tweet 900-924 times Feb 7-14?
- +$7.15at 0.740Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$2.50at 0.999Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?
- +$0.63at 0.974Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$0.27at 0.995Maduro out in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:12 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9939999997 | $7.20 |
| 01-30 16:36 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $8.90 |
| 01-30 16:33 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.83 |
| 01-30 14:08 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9979999374 | $14.74 |
| 01-30 13:03 | Will Chainlink hit $17 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.97 |
| 12-30 16:38 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.23 |
| 12-30 12:18 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.50 |
| 12-29 19:54 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999849 | $18.58 |
| 12-29 19:49 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9949999991 | $53.41 |
| 10-30 21:44 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.01 |
| 10-30 19:26 | Will XRP reach $3.30 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.86 |
| 09-29 14:35 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.87 |
| 09-29 05:26 | Russian strike on Poland by September 30? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $19.85 |
| 09-29 04:42 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.68 |
| 09-29 01:08 | TikTok removed from App Store by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.75 |