PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9d1bcfbfab1e2994fe11ff8c8bd7ff81627d54bb

0x9d1bcfbfab1e2994fe11ff8c8bd7ff81627d54bb

Realised P&L
$0.13
Volume
$415.77
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$13.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9300.982$3.17+$0.17
Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027? · No0.9780.970$2.98−$0.02
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.8600.925$1.61+$0.11
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9700.983$1.52+$0.02
Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9700.957$1.48−$0.02
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? · No0.9610.948$1.48−$0.02
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027? · Yes0.8100.550$1.02−$0.48
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3380.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? · No0.8800.000$0.00−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 12:57Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9609994394$1.50
10-08 00:41Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027?SELL0.947$1.46
08-19 20:40Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.8599999427$1.50
08-19 20:40Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.9399999875$1.50
08-19 20:40Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.92$1.50
08-19 20:39Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.969999806$1.50
08-16 19:33Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.98999967$1.50
08-16 19:33Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.98999967$1.50
08-16 19:33Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.98999967$1.50
08-16 19:33Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.98999967$1.50
08-16 19:17Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9699999871$1.50
07-04 19:35Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027?BUY0.9789997742$1.50
07-04 16:08Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?BUY0.8099999622$1.50
07-04 14:33Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027?BUY0.9769999948$1.50
07-04 14:33Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027?BUY0.9729999896$1.50