0x9d1bcfbfab1e2994fe11ff8c8bd7ff81627d54bb
0x9d1bcfbfab1e2994fe11ff8c8bd7ff81627d54bb
- Realised P&L
- $0.13
- Volume
- $415.77
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $13.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.982 | $3.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027? · No | 0.978 | 0.970 | $2.98 | −$0.02 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.925 | $1.61 | +$0.11 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.983 | $1.52 | +$0.02 |
| Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.957 | $1.48 | −$0.02 |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.961 | 0.948 | $1.48 | −$0.02 |
| Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.550 | $1.02 | −$0.48 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.338 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.18at 0.507San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
- +$0.06at 0.990Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$-0.05at 0.975Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027?
- +$-0.11at 0.949MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 30-July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:57 | Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609994394 | $1.50 |
| 10-08 00:41 | Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027? | SELL | 0.947 | $1.46 |
| 08-19 20:40 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8599999427 | $1.50 |
| 08-19 20:40 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9399999875 | $1.50 |
| 08-19 20:40 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.50 |
| 08-19 20:39 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.969999806 | $1.50 |
| 08-16 19:33 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.98999967 | $1.50 |
| 08-16 19:33 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.98999967 | $1.50 |
| 08-16 19:33 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.98999967 | $1.50 |
| 08-16 19:33 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.98999967 | $1.50 |
| 08-16 19:17 | Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999871 | $1.50 |
| 07-04 19:35 | Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9789997742 | $1.50 |
| 07-04 16:08 | Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999622 | $1.50 |
| 07-04 14:33 | Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9769999948 | $1.50 |
| 07-04 14:33 | Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9729999896 | $1.50 |