tgftccvv
0x9d13d9276e0d49e760519d34861d929dc3189b1e
- Realised P&L
- $1.62
- Volume
- $775.67
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $11.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $11.59 | −$0.01 |
| Will "Overboard" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.53at 0.994Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 13, 2026?
- +$0.38at 0.996Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
- +$0.28at 0.997Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.10at 0.991Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on July 3, 2026?
- +$0.09at 0.999Will "Star Search" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? | BUY | 0.9989999666 | $11.60 |
| 08-27 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or below on August 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.60 |
| 08-09 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10? | BUY | 0.9989999699 | $9.70 |
| 07-29 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.60 |
| 07-12 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on July 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.60 |
| 07-03 07:01 | Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.990999999 | $5.70 |
| 07-03 07:00 | Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9909999996 | $5.20 |
| 06-22 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.9979999413 | $15.00 |
| 05-27 04:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on May 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.30 |
| 05-18 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.10 |
| 04-21 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on April 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.60 |
| 04-01 01:45 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.9989999895 | $87.00 |
| 03-20 03:17 | Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.30 |
| 03-13 13:40 | Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9944835931 | $96.00 |
| 03-01 03:59 | Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.997 | $92.00 |