hadesboy
0x9d0e48ce51de5f216921dabad36a7e85b5e249fc
- Realised P&L
- $-148.99
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $126.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.041 | $73.55 | −$117.55 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.765 | $52.48 | −$1.72 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$317.69at 0.640Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$117.00at 0.720Solana above $190 on February 14?
- +$68.57at 0.309Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
- +$49.61at 0.460Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$45.97at 0.568Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 14:21 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.11 |
| 07-18 22:09 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 02-28 17:43 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $91.95 |
| 02-19 11:18 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999954 | $42.34 |
| 01-18 21:30 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.26 |
| 01-18 21:28 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.79 | $38.71 |
| 01-01 10:25 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | SELL | 0.624 | $5.62 |
| 12-06 18:42 | Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | BUY | 0.5675767158 | $60.34 |
| 12-01 20:04 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $66.00 |
| 12-01 20:04 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 11-25 07:21 | MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour? | BUY | 0.9799999628 | $20.00 |
| 11-23 03:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.8699999982 | $52.10 |
| 11-15 14:59 | Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale? | SELL | 0.66 | $73.99 |
| 11-15 14:57 | Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale? | BUY | 0.67 | $75.12 |
| 11-06 23:10 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.45 | $75.12 |