PolyBot

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Traders

marsian11

0x9d0a504894c2bd9429f9585bdd434f44a9d343f9

Realised P&L
$-61.51
Volume
$972.78
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$7.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.460$6.02$2.48
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0900.025$0.82$2.07
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7000.135$0.58$2.42
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.009$0.04$0.46
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$0.80
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$24.00
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$15.00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 12:33Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.089999972$2.89
09-02 12:31Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$3.05
08-28 15:58Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6499999862$11.80
07-12 08:44Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.2699999896$15.00
07-12 08:43Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.38$16.45
05-31 23:44Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5758377013$24.93
05-31 23:44Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?SELL0.94$10.10
05-25 06:33Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.9$10.00
05-25 06:33Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
05-22 20:58Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
05-16 18:58Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.6999999767$3.00
05-16 18:57Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
05-16 18:56Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?BUY0.9$10.00
12-02 11:23Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
12-02 11:23Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.63$4.72