0x9d043d7bf70c00181fd391502e013c62f470a5bc
0x9d043d7bf70c00181fd391502e013c62f470a5bc
- Realised P&L
- $-0.60
- Volume
- $305.39
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $6.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.984 | $3.08 | +$1.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.825 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.420 | $1.68 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$5.86at 0.261Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$5.06at 0.289Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
- +$4.40at 0.319Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:44 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 07:41 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 22:42 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 10:38 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 12:50 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 04:08 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7799998674 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 04:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 06:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 05:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 17:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 09:00 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 02:06 | Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 02:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 02:07 | Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 18:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299997376 | $2.00 |