Sebaschaps
0x9cf8f29b7b584ea13bfc6e23cae33dd8c01b7f09
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $1.00M
- Markets traded
- 331
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded331
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$563.42at 0.670US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$382.61at 0.730UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$352.44at 0.007Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?
- +$336.10at 0.478UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$225.57at 0.779UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 08:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $140.96 |
| 10-26 12:39 | UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5099998809 | $1.97 |
| 10-26 12:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $154.26 |
| 10-26 12:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $137.60 |
| 10-26 12:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $112.00 |
| 10-26 12:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $13.75 |
| 10-26 12:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $42.50 |
| 10-26 12:30 | UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.51 | $153.00 |
| 10-24 20:49 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 20:06 | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.34 | $25.50 |
| 10-24 17:24 | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.589999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-24 17:15 | UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 16:33 | UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.13 | $3.25 |
| 10-24 15:56 | UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.7288225 | $29.15 |
| 10-24 15:12 | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.5999999992 | $142.00 |