PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sebaschaps

0x9cf8f29b7b584ea13bfc6e23cae33dd8c01b7f09

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$1.00M
Markets traded
331
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded331
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1090.041$574.00−$954.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1850.125$566.54−$273.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1770.085$486.19−$525.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1340.029$339.99−$1.2k
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1610.175$277.93+$21.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0860.020$82.00−$270.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.255$57.38+$1.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1060.021$51.58−$209.54
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$60.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$94.45
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3160.000$0.00−$759.00
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card) · Nazim Sadykhov0.6600.000$0.00−$132.00
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) · Steve Erceg0.5000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00−$287.00
O/U 2.5 Rounds · Over0.6100.000$0.00−$305.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 08:31Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$140.96
10-26 12:39UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)BUY0.5099998809$1.97
10-26 12:38Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$154.26
10-26 12:37Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$137.60
10-26 12:35Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$112.00
10-26 12:35Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$13.75
10-26 12:33Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$42.50
10-26 12:30UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$153.00
10-24 20:49UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-24 20:06UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.34$25.50
10-24 17:24UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.589999998$100.00
10-24 17:15UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.1899999998$10.00
10-24 16:33UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)SELL0.13$3.25
10-24 15:56UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.7288225$29.15
10-24 15:12UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.5999999992$142.00