xiaoyamama
0x9cefe51ca5380e8d66d25f9463900581a4ff8fa3
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $141.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,527
- Open portfolio
- $31.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,527
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$138.28at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?
- +$86.14at 0.148Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?
- +$70.63at 0.286Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?
- +$66.47at 0.032Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 4?
- +$65.13at 0.730Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.14 |
| 08-04 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0117524644 | $0.54 |
| 08-04 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0712700429 | $4.49 |
| 08-04 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.96 |
| 08-04 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.74 |
| 08-04 02:33 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.62 |
| 08-04 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4521693908 | $18.26 |
| 08-04 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.128 | $4.74 |
| 08-04 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.1306551724 | $4.74 |
| 08-04 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-04 01:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0036109202 | $0.28 |
| 08-04 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.5031686542 | $23.63 |