0x9cDa0a07199aa73190Fe15205d7E4DfdFCEf67f8-1758890165245
0x9cda0a07199aa73190fe15205d7e4dfdfcef67f8
- Realised P&L
- $-75.90
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $1.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.85at 0.670US government shutdown by October 1?
- +$1.05at 0.979Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
- +$0.24at 0.995Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?
- +$0.18at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 24?
- +$0.17at 0.913Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.20 |
| 10-05 10:49 | Southern Miss vs. Troy | BUY | 0.7899999851 | $1.59 |
| 09-02 07:09 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.80 |
| 09-02 07:04 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9099999602 | $1.83 |
| 08-07 08:54 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31? | BUY | 0.9975435756 | $14.60 |
| 07-17 09:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.60 |
| 06-04 09:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.00 |
| 06-01 12:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.00 |
| 05-26 10:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? | BUY | 0.99799901 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 10:50 | Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.00 |
| 05-19 09:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.9989999899 | $90.00 |
| 05-10 12:18 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.00 |
| 05-07 13:53 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $90.00 |
| 05-03 10:59 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $88.00 |
| 04-30 11:49 | Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.999 | $88.00 |