PirateKings
0x9cd2b78282931a4f4ff12cea3b8cc681c985b56f
- Realised P&L
- $168.55
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $272.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns? · No | 0.750 | 0.760 | $163.04 | +$2.08 |
| Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.360 | $98.42 | +$27.34 |
| Will Aidan Hutchinson win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.185 | $10.14 | +$1.92 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.577 | 0.926 | $1.11 | +$0.42 |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.28 |
| Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election? · Yes | 0.699 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$246.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.87at 0.622Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- +$53.30at 0.507Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
- +$48.98at 0.470Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$44.34at 0.696Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- +$37.38at 0.517Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:17 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.9 | $121.50 |
| 09-18 03:16 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.9 | $25.20 |
| 09-18 03:16 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.91 | $34.58 |
| 09-18 03:15 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.91 | $51.87 |
| 09-17 20:29 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.91 | $21.84 |
| 09-17 20:28 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $56.16 |
| 09-17 03:54 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.93 | $36.27 |
| 09-17 03:52 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 09-16 22:48 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.209 | $13.58 |
| 09-16 22:42 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.209 | $29.89 |
| 09-16 04:25 | Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.11 | $8.25 |
| 09-15 18:20 | Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.33 | $7.26 |
| 09-15 17:13 | Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.33 | $54.45 |
| 09-15 16:19 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.6122883601 | $227.49 |
| 09-15 13:05 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $50.15 |