0x9cc7588991F27b58AD394982A3A463169b15874B-1776771159264
0x9cc7588991f27b58ad394982a3a463169b15874b
- Realised P&L
- $-3.38
- Volume
- $46.77
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $2.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No | 0.520 | 0.500 | $1.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.105 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down | 0.298 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.96 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.00at 0.250US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
- +$0.88at 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$0.41at 0.710US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$0.25at 0.799Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
- +$-1.02at 0.715Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 23:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 08:31 | Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $0.96 |
| 04-27 00:40 | Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $0.97 |
| 04-25 08:46 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.669999959 | $2.78 |
| 04-21 16:12 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 04-21 16:05 | Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 14:50 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 14:44 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 14:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $0.97 |
| 04-21 14:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.74 |