0x9cb7f4f916c70c1f80c3118edf9adbfbebe3d9b8
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $500.42
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.035 | $390.50 | −$689.47 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.031 | $37.17 | −$43.17 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.005 | $30.25 | −$67.74 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.005 | $27.50 | −$27.50 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.002 | $15.00 | −$65.00 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$740.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 14? · Yes | 0.558 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 15? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 14? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.407Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$1.2kat 0.014Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?
- +$918.98at 0.080Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 26?
- +$392.51at 0.215Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$387.50at 0.681Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 07:49 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? | BUY | 0.018 | $9.71 |
| 07-14 07:48 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? | BUY | 0.017 | $6.63 |
| 07-14 07:48 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? | BUY | 0.016 | $5.35 |
| 07-14 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $22.00 |
| 07-14 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.1673873333 | $25.11 |
| 07-14 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.285 | $14.14 |
| 07-14 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 14? | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 07-14 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 37°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 07-14 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 14? | BUY | 0.557684 | $55.77 |
| 07-14 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.50 |
| 07-12 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on July 12? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 07-12 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.84 |
| 07-12 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.72 |
| 07-12 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.8547916667 | $41.03 |
| 07-12 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.22 | $5.72 |