0x9Cb797445986f206b6eF912a6924485a7C20B785-1762849909484
0x9cb797445986f206b6ef912a6924485a7c20b785
- Realised P&L
- $-136.35
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $29.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.35at 0.722Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?
- +$60.35at 0.570Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?
- +$46.30at 0.570Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
- +$27.44at 0.452Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
- +$20.60at 0.537Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 12:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 12:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 12:22 | Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 12:22 | Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 08-20 10:15 | Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.6890122681 | $3.00 |
| 08-20 10:13 | Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 05:59 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3299999296 | $3.00 |
| 03-10 11:03 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.4099999982 | $115.30 |
| 03-10 11:02 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5099999991 | $44.00 |
| 02-25 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999935 | $3.00 |
| 02-25 13:25 | Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 02-25 13:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $1.94 |
| 02-25 13:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $0.97 |
| 02-25 13:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $2.91 |
| 02-25 13:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |