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Traders

kir18

0x9cb058b33b03fb434c33a1d7ff47a6fec1e335fd

Realised P&L
$627.22
Volume
$38.9k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$326.76

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? · No0.6210.740$148.00+$23.80
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.2500.335$90.69+$23.01
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? · No0.5780.552$76.87−$3.68
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes0.1400.140$11.20+$0.00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00−$62.62
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$111.49
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00−$58.90
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026? · No0.7490.000$0.00−$202.25
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? · No0.2600.000$0.00−$51.06
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 30, 2026? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00−$65.59
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? · No0.1310.000$0.00−$37.20
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$80.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 01:30Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.14$11.20
10-09 01:24Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.032$8.75
10-09 01:23Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.003$1.96
10-06 00:18Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?BUY0.5294319098$26.28
10-04 07:22Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?BUY0.621$124.20
10-04 07:13Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?BUY0.6055623256$54.26
09-17 09:07Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.25$67.68
09-11 05:41Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.55$7.15
09-11 00:59Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.62$155.00
09-11 00:31Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.60941548$208.41
09-08 12:30Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.035$0.70
09-03 23:19Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?BUY0.1061671163$30.00
09-03 23:16Human moon landing in 2026?SELL0.9919224542$46.56
09-02 09:16Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.3$99.90
08-24 06:34Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2316966053$88.04