kir18
0x9cb058b33b03fb434c33a1d7ff47a6fec1e335fd
- Realised P&L
- $627.22
- Volume
- $38.9k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $326.76
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.81at 0.622Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
- +$230.30at 0.308Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$165.54at 0.272AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- +$159.84at 0.330Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
- +$151.00at 0.054Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 01:30 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.14 | $11.20 |
| 10-09 01:24 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.032 | $8.75 |
| 10-09 01:23 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.96 |
| 10-06 00:18 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.5294319098 | $26.28 |
| 10-04 07:22 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.621 | $124.20 |
| 10-04 07:13 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.6055623256 | $54.26 |
| 09-17 09:07 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.25 | $67.68 |
| 09-11 05:41 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $7.15 |
| 09-11 00:59 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $155.00 |
| 09-11 00:31 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.60941548 | $208.41 |
| 09-08 12:30 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.70 |
| 09-03 23:19 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1061671163 | $30.00 |
| 09-03 23:16 | Human moon landing in 2026? | SELL | 0.9919224542 | $46.56 |
| 09-02 09:16 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $99.90 |
| 08-24 06:34 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2316966053 | $88.04 |