PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

d4n13l-vn

0x9ca48a15307921fb9925bd0c1e5120a93180dff9

Realised P&L
$64.68
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$8.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.7620.815$8.55+$0.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.70
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00−$9.00
Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$7.00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$5.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Down0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3330.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.30
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? · Yes0.1350.000$0.00−$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 04:04Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.7624045362$8.00
10-14 16:21Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.6799999767$7.00
10-14 16:21Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-13 03:15Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.8899999941$9.00
10-11 16:31Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.6699999911$6.00
10-09 01:52Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.91$9.00
10-08 16:51Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.91$9.00
09-20 11:21Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4699999944$5.00
09-15 08:37Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.92$9.00
09-14 10:59Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.6899999754$7.00
09-14 10:58Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.7899999802$8.00
09-14 10:29Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
09-13 16:06Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?SELL0.993$11.92
09-13 14:42Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.8299999842$10.00
09-12 12:42Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.6499999861$7.00