0x9c9Ff94DC7B5add4bf55327268123f383CcF70F9-1772815273003
0x9c9ff94dc7b5add4bf55327268123f383ccf70f9
- Realised P&L
- $4.77
- Volume
- $92.25
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $0.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.701 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.47 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks · 76ers | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.25 |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? · Yes | 0.308 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.34 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yes | 0.738 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.34 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.26 |
| Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees · Texas Rangers | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.91at 0.417Ducks vs. Golden Knights
- +$2.53at 0.410Sharks vs. Jets
- +$1.99at 0.497Canadiens vs. Sabres
- +$1.35at 0.627Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
- +$1.14at 0.597Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 19:36 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 13:26 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.359999892 | $1.60 |
| 06-30 13:52 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6499999847 | $2.12 |
| 06-27 15:40 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7599999614 | $2.36 |
| 06-23 11:06 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.07 |
| 06-22 15:36 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.26 |
| 06-21 14:40 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.34 |
| 06-20 16:07 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6799999773 | $1.20 |
| 05-17 15:03 | Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.589999929 | $1.08 |
| 05-17 11:16 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.5699998996 | $1.93 |
| 05-16 13:47 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5799998034 | $1.18 |
| 05-16 10:58 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.5699999147 | $1.47 |
| 05-15 12:50 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.6199998546 | $1.45 |
| 05-15 09:28 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5899999541 | $1.67 |
| 05-14 17:38 | Canadiens vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.4899999545 | $1.94 |