maba1
0x9c9e289d7c6128d95457fb59f30ae8536d6507ed
- Realised P&L
- $-7.64
- Volume
- $170.80
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $5.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.36at 0.339Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
- +$0.98at 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$0.56at 0.640US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.869Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$0.39at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:47 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:47 | Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:46 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 18:45 | Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 18:43 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.21 |
| 06-17 09:13 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.56 |
| 06-17 09:13 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 12:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.17 |
| 05-06 08:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 11:06 | Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 11:04 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 10:59 | LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 05-05 10:55 | LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 10:50 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korneeva | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 10:49 | Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |