PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

maba1

0x9c9e289d7c6128d95457fb59f30ae8536d6507ed

Realised P&L
$-7.64
Volume
$170.80
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$5.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-30? · Yes0.8800.915$2.08+$0.08
Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-09-30? · Yes0.8000.640$1.60−$0.40
Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-30? · Yes0.8100.685$0.85−$0.15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-30? · Yes0.8600.720$0.84−$0.16
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$2.00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korneeva · Lilli Tagger0.7200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 18:47Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.859999914$1.00
09-26 18:47Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.8099999352$1.00
09-26 18:46Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.88$2.00
09-26 18:45Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.8$2.00
09-26 18:43Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.93$2.21
06-17 09:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.999$1.56
06-17 09:13Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
06-02 12:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.998$1.17
05-06 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.3799999012$1.00
05-05 11:06Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
05-05 11:04Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
05-05 10:59LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.01$0.01
05-05 10:55LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.99$1.00
05-05 10:50Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Alina KorneevaBUY0.719999856$1.00
05-05 10:49Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY0.4199998236$1.00