FirstPick
0x9c9c7523f363f6ab3ae1aebca11be4d6bc75c3b3
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $536.4k
- Markets traded
- 942
- Open portfolio
- $660.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded942
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.930 | 0.935 | $478.08 | +$2.51 |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.480 | $110.40 | +$6.90 |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.065 | $72.07 | −$37.91 |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Chelsea? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.19 |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider · Aryna Sabalenka | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$101.70 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? · No | 0.981 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$196.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.530Hornets vs. Nuggets
- +$307.07at 0.769US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe
- +$117.28at 0.810Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev
- +$72.50at 0.966Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Baez
- +$56.41at 0.906Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 14:29 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $8.95 |
| 10-16 14:23 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 10-16 14:21 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.94 | $5.02 |
| 10-15 13:04 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Iga Swiatek | SELL | 0.999 | $209.79 |
| 10-15 12:22 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Iga Swiatek | BUY | 0.884 | $176.80 |
| 10-15 12:22 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Iga Swiatek | BUY | 0.885 | $8.85 |
| 10-15 07:40 | Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027? | SELL | 0.991 | $131.59 |
| 10-15 07:39 | Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027? | SELL | 0.992 | $7.02 |
| 10-14 21:11 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.972 | $204.12 |
| 10-07 12:09 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.965 | $375.80 |
| 10-06 12:50 | Will Casper Ruud Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 10-06 10:09 | Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings | BUY | 0.98 | $181.26 |
| 10-06 09:55 | Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings | BUY | 0.985 | $126.18 |
| 10-06 09:55 | Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings | BUY | 0.984 | $29.52 |
| 10-06 09:47 | Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027? | BUY | 0.993 | $5.96 |