PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

adadq

0x9c9bf6bb49373078271c929f207f8e06468e80dc

Realised P&L
$-27.09
Volume
$55.7k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$26.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? · Yes0.6500.645$12.90−$0.10
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2200.125$12.50−$9.50
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2000.025$1.27−$8.72
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$16.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00−$11.10
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$24.50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$8.70
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$8.60
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00−$17.80
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.5 on November 14 2025? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 15:38Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?BUY0.65$13.00
08-25 15:34Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.22$22.00
08-25 15:32China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.072$7.20
06-11 13:21Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?SELL0.35964$7.19
06-11 12:31Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?SELL0.7$14.00
06-11 12:29Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?SELL0.39$7.80
06-11 12:27Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?SELL0.21$4.20
06-11 12:26Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?SELL0.5375$10.75
06-11 12:26Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?SELL0.56$11.20
06-11 12:26Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?SELL0.64$12.80
06-11 12:26Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?SELL0.69$13.80
06-11 11:47Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.815$16.30
06-11 11:36Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?SELL0.04$0.51
06-11 11:36Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?SELL0.26852$5.37
06-11 11:14Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?SELL0.68$2.95