PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x9C93f426377223dE202ed9e2e05517ccB0335Aed-1768929342291

0x9c93f426377223de202ed9e2e05517ccb0335aed

Realised P&L
$-194.18
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$108.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · Yes0.1860.085$48.88$58.04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0790.028$30.41$55.73
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3210.395$27.73+$5.20
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$1.57$0.43
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0440.002$0.34$9.66
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Down0.3370.000$0.00$2.11
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Up0.3040.000$0.00$3.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Up0.3310.000$0.00$4.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00$1.00
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3080.000$0.00$173.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00$1.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Up0.3810.000$0.00$1.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 14:12Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.13$0.77
07-15 16:40Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.17$5.10
07-12 07:25Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.023$1.15
07-12 07:24Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.613$6.13
07-11 14:14Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?BUY0.15$10.50
07-08 06:43Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.15$3.00
07-08 06:35Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.16$12.80
07-08 06:34Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.16$3.20
07-08 06:05Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.14$1.21
07-08 05:59Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.14$19.60
07-08 05:59Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?BUY0.16$12.80
07-06 01:50Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?SELL0.85$25.50
07-05 16:48Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?BUY0.69$20.70
07-01 07:27Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-01 07:27Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00