umhgedr
0x9c90d1f7cb87c0ad916af7595ce21aa658a94cc9
- Realised P&L
- $-9.76
- Volume
- $286.57
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $10.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.875 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.961 | 0.960 | $4.99 | −$0.01 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.23at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 22?
- +$0.16at 0.974Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$0.01at 0.997Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $460 in August?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 22?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 04:16 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.960999932 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 07:37 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999243 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 06:29 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $460 in August? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 07:45 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 05:24 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9729998926 | $6.00 |
| 04-22 05:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.50 |
| 04-22 05:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 22? | BUY | 0.9939996266 | $1.23 |
| 04-22 05:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $245.96 |