PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9c8236b53330ca63a3637934cb271b75c54b87f9

0x9c8236b53330ca63a3637934cb271b75c54b87f9

Realised P&L
$16.47
Volume
$494.18
Markets traded
155
Open portfolio
$6.00

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded155
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? · Up0.7301.000$1.37+$0.37
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? · No0.6300.625$0.99−$0.01
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · Yes0.2300.225$0.98−$0.02
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.6900.670$0.97−$0.03
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.5600.510$0.91−$0.09
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No0.7800.605$0.78−$0.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 19:30Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-09 11:28Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
10-09 11:28Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-09 03:28S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-08 19:27Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-08 10:03Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-08 02:01Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-07 14:47Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-06 15:53Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-06 11:43Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-06 07:51Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-05 13:12Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5BUY0.64$1.00
10-04 20:03Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-04 17:55Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-04 16:04Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5BUY0.6699999196$1.00