evmosevmio
0x9c809acabb70e17effb76e3e363e9bae9dc88658
- Realised P&L
- $-913.63
- Volume
- $34.7k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $70.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.482 | 0.055 | $42.39 | −$329.27 |
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.065 | $27.81 | −$263.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.88at 0.934Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$11.25at 0.640Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$5.97at 0.770Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$5.09at 0.891Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$4.79at 0.990Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 09:35 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $6.52 |
| 03-16 12:59 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6798536736 | $290.85 |
| 03-16 12:58 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3010276688 | $257.85 |
| 03-09 08:00 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.8109964798 | $1.93 |
| 03-09 08:00 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.5709964629 | $2.95 |
| 03-09 08:00 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.612 | $36.72 |
| 03-09 08:00 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.35 |
| 02-19 03:26 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2846327654 | $16.54 |
| 02-02 05:45 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6498153801 | $197.81 |
| 01-31 10:35 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6924069531 | $100.00 |
| 01-27 07:54 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7216706798 | $50.00 |
| 01-27 07:53 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8399996472 | $2.00 |
| 01-27 07:53 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $3.00 |
| 01-27 07:51 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.6799999637 | $3.00 |
| 01-27 07:50 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.994 | $620.21 |