0x9c7ea8e8008ca0d72603c3c7d5203b05be04c337
0x9c7ea8e8008ca0d72603c3c7d5203b05be04c337
- Realised P&L
- $-962.64
- Volume
- $58.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $66.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.055 | $58.93 | −$91.07 |
| Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.018 | $7.30 | −$2.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$307.17at 0.691Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$164.24at 0.244Texas vs. Oklahoma
- +$93.19at 0.496Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$63.48at 0.234Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$53.74at 0.477Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:11 | Texas vs. Oklahoma | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 01:21 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 09-23 23:12 | Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.023161114 | $9.66 |
| 09-23 22:58 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.6537648267 | $750.00 |
| 09-23 22:58 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | SELL | 0.3511649575 | $835.20 |
| 09-23 22:57 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.3699999999 | $880.00 |
| 09-16 10:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $80.00 |
| 09-16 09:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $400.00 |
| 09-16 03:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999996 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 23:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $25.00 |
| 07-28 13:16 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.1399999993 | $150.00 |
| 07-03 03:11 | Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.1125 | $5.78 |
| 07-03 03:10 | Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.1947079238 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 17:24 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1799999869 | $11.00 |
| 06-20 21:42 | Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | SELL | 0.53 | $60.22 |